November 9, Roland – Berger officially published on the global outlook for new energy vehicles in the latest report of research for the first time the reference to the global components of electric and hybrid vehicles, the prospects for development in Power 2020, China is focused on assembling zero The total market value of super-elements 10 billion euros. laptop battery rechargeable
Power, including assembly of components plug-in hybrids and pure electric, electronic power, batteries and electric motors and generators, transmissions and other components.
Roland – Senior Consultant Berger Zhang Yi said that based on the forecast the next 10 years, Chinese enterprises in the hybrid and electric vehicles future developments in the field have an advantage, in particular, the basic components, including developments in the field of battery has great potential, because Chinese companies have the advantage of cost of raw materials, manufacturing equipment and the benefits of labor costs, dell c1295 battery,dell gd761 battery which will be China in the field of electric vehicles provide the basis for development by leaps and bounds.
2020: The Chinese market second in Western Europe
According to Roland Berger predicts that 2020 will be the main markets in Western Europe, electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids will be more than 3 million in annual sales, China ranked second to reach 1.58 million of units.
With electric cars and plug-in hybrid vehicle growth, associated industry spare parts will also grow rapidly. The report shows that in 2020, Western Europe, the United States, Japan and China as the main force of the global hybrid, electric vehicle parts and components market will grow rapidly. Using various market segments are expected by 2020, the market value of Western Europe will be over 22 billion euros, from 2011 to 2020 between the United States the best estimate of the total market capitalization 2.4 billion euros to 16.5 billion euro, sony vgp-bps8 battery , sony vgp-bps8a battery the Japanese market will also be significant growth in exports of non-cases, from 800 million to 38 billion euros.
It should be noted that in 2020, China has the power to electric drive assembly of parts and components market worth 10 billion euros super. Among them, Euro 2011, 2014 and 2017, the total market value of 600 million euros, respectively, 2.4 billion and 56 billion euros, the estimated market value of the environment in 2020 will reach 6.5 billion of Euro, even a conservative estimate will reach 24 million euros.
In addition, electrical parts assembly and training requirements of their corresponding system will change the course of the automotive value chain of the industry. Among them, apple a1245 battery the Auto value chain, including raw materials, spare parts manufacturing, vehicle integration and assembly, infrastructure construction and energy supply, and mobile services in five areas.
In the production of raw materials, increased demand for certain commodities, such as rare earths, lithium carbonate, etc., the bid must be all in the strategy of technology, manufacturing spare parts, as the new power systems and other components of electronic components, single – battery manufacturers Council will face consolidation.
The integration and assembly of vehicles, due to the integration of different needs in-house production to divert attention, the mark must be redefined, new services and new competitors are joining them infrastructure and energy supply, new energy and new energy technology, and infrastructure construction of the new potential will also change, mobility services, the potential for new business models and products available to customers.
In short, electric cars all aspects of the value chain of existing and future opportunities for growth offered by competitors, suppliers and vendors have the opportunity to expand their operations in the value chain.
Market share: maximum battery
With the plug-in hybrids, electric cars all the parts and components in 2020, the components of the battery in the global market share in the largest share of the market size in euros between 9600000000-297. Now that the Chinese suppliers and Japan, South Korea, North America, Europe, toshiba pa3191u-1bas battery the supplier has a significant cost advantage compared to, the future of the standard battery of quality, durability and differences prices will become increasingly small.
Currently, most providers in the western United States or Japan to buy the expensive production of lithium-ion battery production equipment, because quality requirements are high, they have no ‘choice, while Chinese manufacturers are already non-essential production processes used in the production of local development equipment, because China is labor costs relatively low, but also to replace some machines with artificial channels production.
The cost of lithium depends on the source material, the insulating layer and the lithium iron phosphate lithium battery is the most expensive part of the further development of materials, means higher yields per kilogram, that savings of scale in production to reduce the cost of the combination created many opportunities.
Regarding the price of lithium batteries, with more and more competitive and production continues to grow, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants has estimated the cost of lithium-ion batteries in 2011-2012 fell to around 400 euros per kilowatt-hour. In the long run, will further decrease to 200 euros per kilowatt-hour or less.
However, even assuming that the price of the battery 200 euros per kilowatt-hour, a blend of 20 kWh battery electric vehicles the additional costs of at least 5,000-6,000 euros. As always, tax incentives are in the early stages of market development play an important role.
Roland Berger estimates that the demand for battery electric vehicles will be the future of lithium the main source of output growth is expected for 2020, there will be eye-catching 70% of average annual compound rate of growth. Despite the significant growth in demand, but due to the increase in reserves, experts do not believe that the production of lithium will be a shortage, but there may be a price increase in the risk of a temporary existence.
2020 lithium-ion battery electric power will be doubled to extend the electrical resistance in the long term, electric cars and plug-in hybrid costs and the gap between the internal combustion engine vehicles will be less than 5000 euros, given the use of all costs, taxes and subsidies, the total cost of ownership of electric vehicles in 2015 may be lower than internal combustion engine vehicle.
Zhang Yi said that, in general, is to determine battery electric cars and plug-in hybrids the most critical factor in the success of recent technological improvements seem to have eliminated the use of lithium-ion batteries the largest obstacle but other key areas to be improved to get a large number of markets, acer aspire 5520 battery corporate R & D and production technologies but also to invest a lot of money. “When the battery is less than 5000 euro, everything becomes possible”.